Brendan I Koerner says TiVo is doomed because they were first to the market with DVRs. I’d have to say that Koerner’s analysis is pretty simplistic. Yeah, there are plenty of companies that were first to market that failed, but there are also plenty that were first to market that have done just fine in succeeding years. Furthermore, most first movers have made critical errors that cost them their business. Perhaps TiVo will make such an error, but that’s not really what his article says — his argument seems to be that because TiVo was first, it’s certain to be overtaken. We’ll see.