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Strong opinions, weakly held

Month: April 2005 (page 4 of 6)

Defending the income tax

Max Sawicky wrote a sane and reasonable defense of the federal income tax to mark the date.

The grass on the other side

At least some employees of Microsoft are bitter, bitter, bitter right now. And to think that I always thought of Microsoft as an idyllic place to work, even if I didn’t want to work there.

Peak oil hits the big time

Seems like the “peak oil” theory is getting lots of attention these days, primarily because professional pessimist and curmudgeon James Kunstler has been talking about it for what seems like forever. Anyway, Rolling Stone published his thoughts on the subject, and over at BoingBoing they’ve been doing a good job of aggregating the reaction.

The idea of there being a point at which the daily demand for oil outstrips the amount the world can produce makes sense to me. I have no idea when we’ll reach that point, but it certainly seems inevitable. At the same time, I’m less confident in the dates that people or tossing around or in the effects that are being predicted. History is not on the side of people who have predicted the dire global consequences of pretty much anything.

Update: Rebecca Blood writes to inform me that Peak Oil refers to a peak in oil production capacity, the point at which ew can no longer increase the number of barrels of oil drilled per day. Obviously if that point does exist, and demand continues to increase, then we run into an undersupply and oil prices will increase more rapidly. Unsurprisingly, Wikipedia has a detailed page explaining the theory.

Another update: John Scalzi bets on American ingenuity. I’d call it human adaptability, but I agree with him in the general case. We humans persevere. Stan Taylor points out that Scalzi’s probable scenario isn’t particularly rosy.

RFID Passports

Ed Felten has a post on the lack of reasoning behind adding an RFID chip to our passports. Adam Shostack has some additional comments as well.

Papal election security

Bruce Schneier went through the intellectual exercise of analyzing the security of the papal election procedures. His take is that it would be very hard to commit fraud, but the details of the analysis are really what’s interesting.

Getting smarter

Sam Ruby has an essay on continuations that will make you smarter. This essay is complement to the other essay on continuations that I linked to awhile back. When I read essays like these, I wish I had gutted it out and majored in computer science.

The falling dollar

James Suroweicki has a good article on the falling dollar and what it means for the US economy. You can read about this stuff in The Economist every week.

How Greasemonkey helps publishers

Adrian Holovaty insightfully points out that Greasemonkey is good for publishers because nearly all Greasemonkey scripts demonstrate how a Web site can be improved. Only a small minority of users will ever install Greasemonkey, but publishers can look at the scripts and figure out how to make their sites better for all of their users. In some ways, Greasemonkey is sort of an offshoot of the idea of user interface mods for computer games. When companies make the interfaces of their games modifiable, most of the improvements to the user interface arrive courtesy of community-built enhancements, and in many cases those enhancements get rolled back into the default interface so that all users can benefit from them. The idea that this can be accomplished with Web sites is somewhat revolutionary.

Wikipedia’s rival suitors

Dan Hartung points out that Wikipedia’s deal with Yahoo does not end their relationship with Google, as explained on this page where both deals are being discussed.

Seymour Hersh

Slate’s Chris Suellentrop has a lengthy article in New York magazine about Seymour Hersh’s willingness to bend the truth when he’s speaking to audiences. Hersh’s New Yorker articles, which I have linked to often, are not in question. Here’s how Suellentrop describes it:

There are two Hershes, really. Seymour M. is the byline. He navigates readers through the byzantine world of America’s overlapping national-security bureaucracies, and his stories form what Hersh has taken to calling an “alternative history” of the Bush administration since September 11, 2001. Then there’s Sy. He’s the public speaker, the pundit. On the podium, Sy is willing to tell a story that’s not quite right, in order to convey a Larger Truth. “Sometimes I change events, dates, and places in a certain way to protect people,” Hersh told me. “I can’t fudge what I write. But I can certainly fudge what I say.”

Bottom line: when you read something from a Hersh speech that sounds unbelievable, maybe you shouldn’t believe it. I’ve read many items on weblogs discussing things Hersh has said, but refused to link to them because I couldn’t confirm them anywhere.

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