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Strong opinions, weakly held

Month: September 2008 (page 3 of 4)

James Fallows on Sarah Palin

Back on August 29, James Fallows made an observation about Sarah Palin and about running for President (or Vice President). Here’s how he described the stakes:

If someone is campaigning for the presidency or vice presidency, there’s an extra twist. That person has to have a line of argument to offer on any conceivable issue. Quick, without pausing in the next ninety seconds, tell me what you think about: the balance of relations between Taiwan and mainland China, and exactly what signals we’re sending to Hamas, and what we think about Russia’s role in the G-8 and potentially in NATO, and where North Korea stands on its nuclear pledges — plus Iran while we’re at it, plus the EU after the Irish vote, plus cap-and-trade as applied to India and China, and what’s the right future for South Ossetia; and let’s not even start on domestic issues.

And here’s how he described the inevitable outcome:

Let’s assume that Sarah Palin is exactly as smart and disciplined as Barack Obama. But instead of the year and a half of nonstop campaigning he has behind him, and Joe Biden’s even longer toughening-up process, she comes into the most intense period of the highest stakes campaign with absolutely zero warmup or preparation. If she has ever addressed an international issue, there’s no evidence of it in internet-land.

The smartest person in the world could not prepare quickly enough to know the pitfalls, and to sound confident while doing so, on all the issues she will be forced to address. This is long before she gets to a debate with Biden; it’s what the press is going to start out looking for.

This is the spectacle that began today.

Update: Here’s Fallows on her interview with Charlie Gibson.

Hurricane Ike

I’m obsessively watching this and this, hoping that Hurricane Ike doesn’t flood southeast Texas as badly as it looks like it might.

Levels of candor

I was just thinking this morning about the various levels of candor I employ when I think something potentially offensive and consider talking about it, stated as the questions I ask myself. (The calculation is different if privacy is the issue.)

  1. Would I say it on my blog?
  2. Would I say it in front of my grandmother?
  3. Would I say it on Twitter?
  4. Would I say it at an all hands meeting at work?
  5. Would I say it in email?
  6. Would I say it to my mother?
  7. Would I say it to the coworkers who I know well?
  8. Would I say it to my close friends (in front of their spouses who I know less well)?
  9. Would I instant message it to a close friend?
  10. Would I say it to my close friends?
  11. Would I say it to my wife?

You can infer from this that I am not as funny on my blog as I am in other settings. The other thing you can deduce from that list is that I’m a bit cautious about what I say when it’s going to live forever on a hard drive somewhere.

Steve Yegge on typing

Steve Yegge talks about touch typing in today’s rant. I’m linking to it only because it reminds me that I love to tell people that typing is the most valuable class I took at any level of education. I took one semester of typing in high school, and it was the best thing I ever did.

Speculators and oil prices

What role have speculators played in the rapid rise and then decline in crude oil prices? Andrew Leonard cites a book that argues that commodity index speculators were a driving force behind the price fluctuations.

And from elsewhere in finance, Tyler Cowen explains why the government must bail out Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

Foreign Policy’s 20 questions for Sarah Palin

Looks like Foreign Policy decided to play along with my little game from yesterday. Here are their 20 questions, focused on foreign policy. They seem to be designed more as a test of knowledge (and even trivia) than a test of judgement or philosophy, and they feel a little like gotcha questions to me.

Update: Politico has solicited questions for Palin from a number of big names from both sides.

Update: Jack Shafer offers 10 questions of his own. I think we can be fairly certain that Sarah Palin won’t be sitting down to an interview with Shafer anytime soon.

Update: Palin’s local paper has prepared a list as well.

Fighting censorship with banner ads

James Fallows writes about uptake of Hot Spot Shield in China. It’s a tool that tunnels your Web traffic through a VPN so that people can’t snoop on your Internet traffic, and is supported by ads that it inserts when you load Web pages. Among other things, it enables users in China to circumvent the Great Firewall and view Web pages that are otherwise blocked. (I wonder how long it will be before the Chinese government blocks access to anchorfree.com from inside the firewall so that people can’t download Hot Spot Shield?)

David Simon on the problems of urban America

David Simon explains The Wire and American cities to overseas viewers:

That is the context of The Wire and that is the only context in which Baltimore – and by reasonable extension, urban America – can be fairly regarded. There are two Americas – separate, unequal, and no longer even acknowledging each other except on the barest cultural terms. In the one nation, new millionaires are minted every day. In the other, human beings no longer necessary to our economy, to our society, are being devalued and destroyed. Both things are true, and one gets a sense, reading the distant reaction to The Wire, that Europeans are far more ready to be convinced by one vision than the other.

And wow, I’m just quoting these two paragraphs because they should be quoted:

In places like West Baltimore, the drug war destroyed every last thing that the drugs themselves left standing – including the credibility of the police deterrent. To elect one man to higher office, an entire city alienated its citizenry and destroyed its juror pool.

Mayor O’Malley is now Governor O’Malley. The police commanders have all been promoted. A daily newspaper that had no stomach for addressing the why a decade ago when it had 400 editors and reporters, a newspaper more consumed with prize submissions and gotcha stories than with complex analysis of its city’s problems, now has 220 bodies in its newsroom and is even less capable of the task. And nothing, of course, changes.

The politics of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae

Andrew Leonard posts about the politics of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae:

The critical difference between right and left points of view on this issue is that the right thinks the government shouldn’t be involved at all in the housing market, while the left believes that Fannie Mae — which was originally created during the Great Depression as a fully public agency entrusted with propping up the housing market — never should have been transformed into a semi-public, semi-private entity in the first place. This gets to the heart of a distinction made by Paul Krugman in his blog today between “nationalization” and “deprivatization.” Headlines declaring that Fannie and Freddie are being “nationalized” are running rampant through the blogosphere, summoning up visions of banana republics kicking out Yankee oil companies in the name of the revolution! But what’s really happening is that the bastard halfway privatization of Fannie Mae has now been revoked.

And here’s why Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac weren’t really the problem in the first place:

We shouldn’t be shocked at all that Wall Street went completely overboard in its love affair with housing market manipulation. That’s what happens when a market is left to its own devices, and government eschews its oversight responsibility. That’s what always happens. And when the mess gets big enough, government has to step in and clean everything up, which means that even if the feds had kept their hands totally clean — if there had been no Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac muddying the waters — some kind of public entity would have had to be created as the government vehicle for correcting market failure.

Interview questions for Sarah Palin

ABC’s Charlie Gibson has won the honor to be the first journalist to interview Sarah Palin since she was nominated to the Vice Presidency. It’s a great opportunity for him, and I imagine he’ll be working overtime getting ready, since everyone suspects that he was chosen because he can be counted on not to put any pressure on Palin. (Indeed, Josh Marshall reports that the terms of the interview guarantee that he won’t.)

Fortunately, those of us on the Internet are only hypothetically interviewing Sarah Palin, so we can ask whatever we like. When it comes to a candidate like Palin, who we don’t really know much about, it feels to me like an interview with her should be like a job interview. I think it’s a waste of time to ask “gotcha” questions, and that we won’t learn very much at all if she’s asked about her family or even about her scandals. I’m sure she has an answer all tucked away when it comes to why she supported the “Bridge to Nowhere” and then claimed she didn’t, or how she decided to fire the head of the Alaska state police.

What I’m interested in is her philosophy of government and the sensibilities she brings to the kinds of decisions a President has to make. With that, here are some questions I’d ask if I got to interview her.

  1. How do you define leadership?
  2. What are the qualities you look for when hiring subordinates?
  3. As an executive, what specific steps do you take to make sure that political appointees feel empowered to act independently using their best judgement? When they advise you, how do you make sure that you’re getting their honest opinion and aren’t just being told what you want to hear?
  4. What’s your process when you encounter a problem outside your area of expertise?
  5. What did you find to be the biggest difference between serving as mayor of your home town and governor of Alaska?
  6. What role do you see the United Nations playing in world affairs and United States foreign policy?
  7. What are the fundamental rights that we should grant to any prisoner detained by the United States government?
  8. Which basic risks should the US government take responsibility for insuring its citizens from? (Starvation? Poverty? Preventable disease? Job loss? Poverty in old age? Etc.)
  9. The governor of Alaska has line item veto power, and the United States President does not. Should the President have line item veto power? If it were granted to the President, how would that affect the separation of powers?
  10. How do you feel like the gap between perceived risks and actual risks affects the work of government?

There are ten from me. Anyone else have any questions?

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