David Roher at Deadspin talks about Silver’s background as a baseball analyst and the critics that cannot accept that statistical modeling might provide more accurate predictions than the anecdote-driven analysis of experts.
David Roher at Deadspin talks about Silver’s background as a baseball analyst and the critics that cannot accept that statistical modeling might provide more accurate predictions than the anecdote-driven analysis of experts.
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November 8, 2012 at 8:23 pm
Roher nails it:
1) No one cares about a ‘predictable’-slash-blowout horserace. The media thrives on the edge-of-the-seat contest. The more accurate Silver’s model becomes, the less chance of a “OMG! Blue AND Red ARE TIED! NOW Blue IS AHEAD BY 0.1 POINTS!! NOW Red IS!!!”
2) Fear, fear, fear.
IfWHEN the models become accurate enough to reliably call elections, instantly all of the “pundits” become just another Captain Dunsel.