Kevin Drum explains how to figure out the percentage chance that a candidate is actually leading in a state based on their lead in a close poll and the poll’s margin of error. Update: The CJR Campaign Desk also has an explanation of margin of error.
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Interpreting poll results
Kevin Drum explains how to figure out the percentage chance that a candidate is actually leading in a state based on their lead in a close poll and the poll’s margin of error.
Update: The CJR Campaign Desk also has an explanation of margin of error.
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