A couple of years ago I described the bubble pattern. It’s basically a three four step pattern:
- Clever investors find a class of asset that is undervalued.
- Dumber investors find out what the clever investors are buying, and pour their money into that class of asset.
- Bankers work as hard as they can to increase the supply of assets in that class, despite the fact that these assets are no longer really a good investment.
- The bubble bursts.
Chris Dixon explains how this pattern has manifested in venture capital.
Put a dollar figure on carbon emissions
Matthew Yglesias makes a pretty convincing argument that the most effective path to slowing down climate change is putting a price on carbon. Right now, carbon emissions are untaxed, so there’s no market mechanism to reward a reduction in carbon emissions other than the price of using energy. Unfortunately, energy prices are largely decoupled from their environmental impact.