One thought on “David Roher on Nate Silver

  1. Roher nails it:

    1) No one cares about a ‘predictable’-slash-blowout horserace. The media thrives on the edge-of-the-seat contest. The more accurate Silver’s model becomes, the less chance of a “OMG! Blue AND Red ARE TIED! NOW Blue IS AHEAD BY 0.1 POINTS!! NOW Red IS!!!”

    2) Fear, fear, fear. If WHEN the models become accurate enough to reliably call elections, instantly all of the “pundits” become just another Captain Dunsel.

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